According to predictions, Atlantic Prepared for Massive Flooding as Francine Storm Intensifies

Early next week, a cunning subtropical storm may make its way into the Carolinas.

Even though Francine has been off the coast of Louisiana for almost two days, its moisture is still causing floods as it moves inland. Forecasters are keeping an eye out for any potential storm development that might occur next week close to the Carolinas.

Francine reached her destination. Wednesday as a Category 2 hurricane, just 60 miles southwest of New Orleans, causing gusts along the coast to reach 90 to 100 mph. In New Orleans, which saw more than 8 inches of rain, a wind gust of 78 mph was recorded.

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The storm's aftermath threatens to cause floods throughout large areas of the South, and more than 100,000 customers in Louisiana are still without power.

In Middle Tennessee and most of Alabama, where heavy rainfall is predicted to continue sporadically with Friday's downpours, flood watches are in place. The unpredictable nature of the downpours has resulted in wildly different rainfall totals thus far; for example, three inches of rain have fallen on Birmingham's west side, whereas just one inch has poured in other areas.

But with the collapsing circulation expected to subside on Saturday, Francine's trip to the Lower Mississippi Valley is almost over. But there's still more in the Atlantic to follow. Early next week, a storm with significant rain and maybe strong gusts might develop along a front that has stalled offshore of the Carolinas and then move inland.

This year, three hurricanes have already made landfall. July 8 saw Beryl make landfall as a Category 1 hurricane south of Houston, while August 5 saw Debbie make landfall in Steinhatchee, Florida.

All things considered, the hurricane season has been far quieter than forecasters had predicted. Many demanded a "hyperactive season because of the unusually warm weather." temperatures of the Atlantic Ocean and the start of the La Niña weather pattern. Right now, storm activity is around average, but it's hard to predict what the second half of the season will bring.

The two locations with the most rainfall on Thursday were in the feeder bands that swung ashore in the Gulf of Mexico much to the southeast, and the other was close to the center of Francine's remnant circulation in northeast Arkansas, northwest Mississippi, and southwest Tennessee.

On Thursday, the former zone sent 4.22 inches of rain to Memphis, making it the third-wettest September day ever recorded in the city. A maximum total of 12.62 inches was recorded near Lanark Village, Florida, some 25 miles northeast of Apalachicola, during the latter event, which brought 4 to 6 inches of rain to the Florida Panhandle overall.

Francine is bringing tropical moisture inland, so there's still potential for more rain. On Friday, an arcing belt of thunderstorms and rain will turn and move into western Tennessee and Alabama, dropping an additional two to three inches of rain. This could provide a risk of flooding, especially with the soggy soils from the recent rainfall.

Forecasters' attention will swiftly shift to the Mid-Atlantic coast as Francine passes.

Off the coast of North Carolina, a frontal boundary is halted. There are indications that as it draws energy from the Gulf Stream's warm waters, a wave of low pressure would emerge along it and eventually get stronger.

Heavy rains will be the biggest issue, though it's unknown how intense it may get. Shower activity will pick up along the coastal Carolinas this weekend, but as the low pressure system moves ashore early in the workweek, it may intensify and cover more ground by then, potentially producing a subtropical or tropical storm.

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In , 3 to 6 inches may fall in eastern North and South Carolina; there are indications that heavy precipitation may move northward throughout the Mid-Atlantic. Two to three inches are predicted by the American GFS model for Washington, D.C., although that prediction is based on a stronger low pressure system that can move farther inland. The representations of the European model are somewhat more subdued. Since parts of D.C., Maryland, and Virginia are experiencing a prolonged drought, any rain would be greatly appreciated.

The system has a 30% probability of developing into a tropical storm or depression, according to the National Hurricane Center.